Insights

The Scarcity Fallacy: Is Less Really More?

Having the privilege of walking through life with people vocationally, aiding in the acquisition, maintenance and dispossession of earthly resources as a financial advisor, I’m burdened with a heightened sense of the battling spirits of scarcity and abundance. The dehumanizing poverty that torments the Majority World screams that resources—here and now—are scarce. Remembering when I handed…

A Slow-Tech Approach to Tracking Spending

Ten years ago, I tracked every penny of our family’s spending. That’s good, right? Over time, however, I lost sight of why I was doing it and eventually stopped. Recently, I decided to try it again, and I find myself having the same mental conversation every time I sit down with my receipts. “I don’t…

Should You Include International Bonds In Your Portfolio? – Part II

Today we continue our discussion on international bonds. We’ll begin with a Vanguard study. Vanguard reached the same conclusions we discussed in yesterday’s post in their February 2014 research paper “Global fixed income: Considerations for U.S. Investors.” The paper states: For the average investor seeking to further mitigate volatility in a diversified portfolio, foreign bonds can play…

Should People Listen To John Hussman’s Forecasts?

In my book, Think, Act, and Invest Like Warren Buffett, I noted that the Oracle of Omaha advised investors: “We have long felt that the only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune-tellers look good. Even now, Charlie (Munger) and I continue to believe that short-term market forecasts are poison and should be kept locked up…

Is it OK to keep your assets with one fund family?

One of the more frequently asked questions I get is about the need to diversify across mutual fund or exchange-traded fund providers: Is there risk in having all your eggs in one fund family’s basket? This question became even more prevalent after the Bernie Madoff fraud was exposed. We’ll begin to address this issue by…

‘Value’ Fueled By Behavior Bias

The financial equivalent of the Miller Lite, “tastes great, less filling,” debate is between traditional finance (which uses risk theories to explain asset pricing), and the newer behavioral finance field (which uses human behavior to provide the explanations). Unfortunately, there’s no consensus about which side of the debate is correct. My own view is that…

Rethinking Dividend Strategies

During bear markets, the dividends thrown off by companies provide the cash flow required, while a total-return approach requires one to sell shares to provide the cash flow—a clear advantage of dividend-focused strategies that those who favor them are quick to point out. This blog addresses that issue specifically. We’ll begin our discussion by pointing…

Is The Stock Market ‘Overgrazed’?

There’s an interesting new paper by Claude Erb, “Has the Stock Market Been Overgrazed?” He begins with noting that over time (since the 1920s), the beta, size and value premiums have all declined. He then asks: “What if too many investors are demanding too much from a possibly limited supply of opportunities?” Said another way,…

How the mutual fund graveyard can hurt investors

The tendency for mutual fund companies to drop poorly performing funds when calculating historical return data is a major problem for unsuspecting investors, and it’s known as survivorship bias. An investor selecting mutual funds today is choosing from a list that excludes the losers that have been either closed or merged out of existence so…

Avoid Supporting Your Fund Manager’s Lavish Lifestyle

Some things never change. In 1940, Fred Schwed wrote a humorous book called, “Where Are the Customers’ Yachts?” It was about the dichotomy between the lavish lifestyle of those who manage money and the far less glamorous struggles of those whose money is being managed. In 2006, Paul Farrell noted in a MarketWatch blog post that more…

The Scarcity Fallacy: Is Less Really More?

Having the privilege of walking through life with people vocationally, aiding in the acquisition, maintenance and dispossession of earthly resources as a financial advisor, I’m burdened with a heightened sense of the battling spirits of scarcity and abundance. The dehumanizing poverty that torments the Majority World screams that resources—here and now—are scarce. Remembering when I handed…